Ko ngā ia kaihoko o Āhia-Kiwa e whakahōputu anō i te ōhanga o Oceania: te whakahekenga reiti hei whakahihiko, te hokinga mai o te tāpoi, me te ara hou o te tauhokohoko

Kupu Whakataki

I te tīmatanga o te tau 2026, kei te wehewehe te ōhanga o Āhia-Kiwa i roto i te kaha. E ai ki ngā raraunga hou a Visa, i ahu mai i ngā piriona tauwhitinga kore ingoa, kei te huri te whakapau moni mai i ngā ratonga ki ngā taonga, ko te haerenga tonu te kāwai whakapau moni tino rongonui i te rohe, ā, kei te āta whakatakoto anō ngā wāhi wera o AI me te whakawhiti tauhokohoko i te utu me te tikanga utu. Mō Ōceania—Ahitereiria, Aotearoa me ngā Moutere o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa—ko ēnei ia, he wāhi whai take me te wero hoki. Ka tātari tēnei tuhinga, mai i te tirohanga ōhanga ā-rohe me te whanaketanga mō te wā roa, me pēhea ēnei panoni e pā ana ki te huarahi tipu o Ōceania, te hanganga tauhokohoko me te rerenga haumi.

Tuhinga Whakamārama: Te Pōturi o te Tipu o Āhia-Kiwa me te Wehewehenga o te Whakapau Moni a te Kiritaki

Kua roa a Āhia-Kiwa te rohe tino piki o te GDP o te ao, engari ko te pikinga o ngā ārai tauhokohoko, te pikinga o te utu whakapaipai, te pakeke haere o te taupori, me te whakatika hanganga ōhanga o Haina, kei te whakaiti i te whaihua o te hanga ā-whakaputa e ahu ana ki te tauhokohoko. Kua hopukina e te Tohu Whakapau Moni a Visa (Spending Momentum Index) he wehewehenga nui: I Ahitereiria me Aotearoa, i roto i te whakahekenga utu moni, i piki te whakapau moni, i eke te tohutoro mai i te wā heke iho i te 100 i te hauwhā tuawhā o 2024, ki te wā piki (102.5–103.4) i te hauwhā tuarua ki te tuawhā o 2025. Engari, kei te ngoikore tonu te whakapau moni o Āhia hou, i heke ki te 94.0 i te hauwhā tuawhā o 2025.

E tohu ana tēnei wehewehenga, kei te painga ngā ōhanga nui e rua o Ōceania mai i te hurihanga o te huringa reiti, i te wā e pāngia ana ngā pūkaha tipu tawhito pērā i Te Tonga o Āhia e te whakaheke taonga a te US, te whakatiki i te kaupapahere tauhokohoko me te pōturi o te hanga mahi.

Tātaritanga Hōhonu: Ngā Pānga ki te Ōhanga o Ōceania

1. Ahitereiria me Aotearoa: Te Huanga o te Hekenga Reiti me te Hokinga Mai o te Whakapau Moni

E ai ki ngā raraunga a Visa, i tere te whakautu o ngā whānau o Ahitereiria me Aotearoa ki te hekenga o ngā reiti, ā, i tino pai ake te whakapau moni. E hāngai ana tēnei ki te horopaki o te hekenga reiti a ngā pēke matua o ngā whenua e rua i te tau 2025. Kua tere te tipu o te whakapau moni mō ngā taonga hokohoko me ngā toa nui, e whakaatu ana kei te huri ngā kiritaki ki ngā taonga e utu tika ana i muri i te pikinga o te pūmau o ngā ratonga utu nui. Mō ngā ōhanga o Ahitereiria me Aotearoa, e whakawhirinaki ana ki ngā ratonga (ina koa te mātauranga, te haerenga me ngā ratonga pūtea), ko tēnei hurihanga ka tohu i te kaha tipu mo te wā poto mai i ngā ratonga ki ngā taonga, engari mo te wā roa me aro ki te taurite hanganga.

Mō te haerenga, tata ki te 10% te pikinga o te whakapau moni haerenga i Āhia-Kiwa, engari kei te wero te tūnga o Ahitereiria me Aotearoa hei tūnga haerenga. Nā te ātaahua ahurea o Kōrea i eke hei tūnga haerenga tuarua o te rohe (i muri i a Hapani), ā, kua hipa atu i a Ahitereiria me Tairanga. Ko te tikanga, me kaha ake a Ahitereiria me Aotearoa ki te whakapakari i ngā wheako haerenga motuhake (pērā i te taiao māori, te ahurea iwi taketake) hei pupuri i te whakataetae. Heoi, i te tau 2025 ka pōturi te tipu o ngā haerenga a te hunga waenga o Haina, Inia me Initonīhia, e pā ana pea ki ngā tūnga haerenga o ngā Moutere o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa.

2. Ngā Moutere o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa: Ngā Pānga Autāne me Ngā Wero mo te Wā Roa

Ahakoa kāore ngā raraunga a Visa e tika ana mō ngā Moutere o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, he hōhonu ngā pānga o ngā ia ā-rohe ki a rātou.Ahakoa kāore ngā raraunga Visa e tōpū tika atu ki ngā Whenua Moutere o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, he pānga hōhonu tonu ō ngā āhuatanga ā-rohe ki a rātou. Tuatahi, ko te whakaoranga o ngā whakapaunga i Ahitereiria me Aotearoa ka ārahi pea i te tono mō ngā haerenga me ngā hua ahuwhenua ki ngā Moutere o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, inarā ki ngā moutere e whakawhirinaki ana ki te tāpoi pēnei i Whītī me Vanuatu. Tuarua, ko te whakawhitinga o te tauhokohoko Āhia-Kiwa me te whakatikatika o ngā mekameka tuku ka pā pea ki ngā tauhokohoko whakawhiti me ngā haumitanga a ngā moutere. Hei tauira, ki te whakahaeretia rawatia e te Hononga o Amerika ngā ara whakawhiti a Haina mā Tonga-Āhia, ka akiaki pea i ētahi haumitanga kia huri ki ngā ara tōtika ake o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa. Engari, nā te ngoikore o ngā hanganga matua o ngā moutere me te iti o te rahi o te mākete, he uaua ki a rātou te whakahaere wawe i ngā whakanekehanga ahumahi nui.

Ko ngā pūtea āhuarangi me ngā kaupapa pūngao whakahou i ngā Moutere o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa tonu te aronga nui mō te whanaketanga. Ahakoa kāore te ngākau nui ki te haumitanga AI Āhia-Kiwa e pā tika atu ki ngā moutere, ko te whakamōhio ake o te hangarau ka whakapiki pea i te hononga o ngā wāhanga pēnei i te mahi mamao, ngā ratonga matihiko hoki, e whai wāhi ai ngā moutere ki te ōhanga matihiko ā-rohe.

3. Tauhokohoko me ngā Mekameka Tuku: Ngā Ara Hou me te Whakatikatika B2B

E whakanui ana te pūrongo a Visa i te hekenga o ngā whakapaunga whakawhiti B2B i roto i te rohe Āhia-Kiwa, e whakaatu ana i te whakaroa o ngā umanga ki te haumita i roto i te taiao tauhokohoko hou. Engari ko ētahi o te tipu o te tauhokohoko he mea whakawhiti anō mā ngā mākete tuatoru pea, ehara i te mea he piki tūturu o te hiahia. Mō te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, ka whakakiki ake tēnei i te kūaretanga o tōna tūnga i roto i te mekameka tuku Āhia-Kiwa. Ko ngā whakaputanga kohuke me te pūngao o Ahitereiria (inarā te LNG me te rino), e whakawhirinaki tonu ana ki te tono a Haina, ā, ko ngā whakaputanga miraka me te mīti o Aotearoa e pēhia ana e te whakawhānuitanga o te mākete o Tonga-Āhia. Ko te kūaretanga o ngā kaupapahere tauhokohoko ka akiaki pea i ngā umanga o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa kia whakahoro i te kanorau, kia tahuri atu ki ngā mākete hou pēnei i Whitināma me Inia.

4. Ngā Rerenga Haumitanga me te Kotahitanga Pūtea

Ko te ngākau nui ki te haumitanga AI i roto i te rohe Āhia-Kiwa kua akiaki i te tipu o ngā whakapaunga haerenga ki tāwāhi i ngā whenua pēnei i Piripīni, Marēhia, Hingapoa hoki, ā, ko ngā tūruhi whai rawa o ēnei whenua kua noho hei puna nui mō te tāpoi ki Ahitereiria me Aotearoa. I tua atu, ko te kotahitanga o ngā mākete pūtea ā-rohe (pēnei i te hononga o ngā whakawhitinga taonga i Ahitereiria me Aotearoa ki Āhia) ka āwhina pea i te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa ki te kukume i ētahi atu whakapaipai ki te ao hangarau me te pūngao whakahou. E tohu ana ngā raraunga a Visa, ko ngā kainoho o Ahitereiria, Hapani, Hongipua, Hingapoa me Taiwana te take o te neke atu i te toru haurua o ngā whakapaunga haerenga hou i te rohe Āhia-Kiwa, e whakaatu ana i te tino whakakotahitanga o te rōpū kaiwhakapau taonga tiketike, ā, me arotahi a te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa ki te kukume i tēnei rōpū.## Ngā Āhuatanga Roa: Te Tirohanga 2026-2030

• I roto i ngā tau e 3 ki te 5 e heke mai nei, ka tūpono ngā huringa matua e whai ake nei mō te ōhanga o Oceania:
• Te Whakataungia o ngā Reiti me te Hanganga Kaihoko: I te hekenga o te pānga o te whakaheke reiti, ka pūmau te tipu o te kaihoko i Ahitereiria me Aotearoa, engari ko te whakatika i ngā utu hokohoko o ngā taonga me ngā ratonga ka ārahi pea i te panonitanga o te āhua o te toa hokohoko.
• Te Whakanui ake o te Whakataetae Tūruhi: Ko Korea, Hapani me ētahi atu ka tohe tonu mō te wāhi o te tūruhi i te rohe o Ahia-Kiwa, me whakangao a Ahitereiria me Aotearoa ki te hokohoko matihiko me ngā hanganga tūruhi tauwhiro.
• Te Whakahōhonutanga o ngā Whakaaetanga Hokohoko: I raro i te anga o RCEP me CPTPP, ka whakaitihia ake ngā arai hokohoko i waenganui i Ahitereiria, Aotearoa me Ahia, engari ko te papau o ngā kaupapahere tāke a te United States ka ārahi pea i te mahi tahi ā-rohe.
• Te Wā ki te Hurihanga Kākāriki: Ko ngā Moutere o Te Moananui-a-Kiwa hei mua mō ngā mahi āhuarangi, ka kukume pea i te maha o ngā pūtea āhuarangi me ngā whakangao kaha whakahou, ka taea e Ahitereiria me Aotearoa te whakamahi i ngā paihangarau me ngā painga whakapaipai ki te uru atu ki te honohono pūngao ā-rohe.
• AI me te Ōhanga Matihiko: Ko te pānga o AI ki ngā ratonga (pērā i te pokapū waea, te tātaritanga raraunga) ka pā pea ki ngā umanga tuku ki waho o Aotearoa, engari hoki ka kawe mai i ngā whai wāhi hou mō te hangarau mātauranga me te hauora mamao.

Whakataunga

Ko ngā raraunga a Visa e whakaatu ana, kei te whai hua te ōhanga o Oceania i te wehenga whānui ake o te kaihoko i te rohe o Ahia-Kiwa, engari kāore te kore atu o ngā tūraru. I tutuki te whakaoranga ki a Ahitereiria me Aotearoa nā te whakaihiihi o ngā reiti me te pūmau o ngā tūāpapa kaihoko, engari me aro ki te hekenga o te mana o te mākete tūruhi me te pēhitanga o te nekehanga hokohoko. Ko ngā Moutere o Te Moananui-a-Kiwa me rapu huarahi whanaketanga hou i roto i te mahi tahi ā-rohe. Mō te wā roa, me huri a Oceania i ngā hua kaihoko mo te wā poto hei whakangao hanganga tauwhiro, hei whakapai ake i te whakapaipai tangata, me te hurihanga kākāriki, me te whakahōhonu hoki i ngā hononga hokohoko me te pūtea ki Ahia, kia whai wāhi pai ai i te āhua hou o te rohe o Ahia-Kiwa.

*I tuhia tēnei tuhinga i runga i te pūrongo tirohanga ōhanga a Visa i puta i Hui-tanguru 2026, ko te ingoa "Travel, trade and AI shaping Asia Pacific's economies".*